According to the report of China business daily on December 5, at the National Symposium on tobacco control, Professor Zheng Rong of the University of foreign economic relations and Trade said that if various tobacco control measures are not increased at the current level, China's smoking rate is expected to increase from 26.60% in 2018 to 27.64% by 2030.
At the meeting, sun, technical officer of smokeless action of the WHO representative office in China, said that from 2007 to 2019, the average global adult smoking rate decreased from 22.7% to 17.5%. However, the smoking rate in China has declined slowly. In terms of cigarette sales, almost all over the world are declining, while China is rising.
According to the data published in China smoking health hazard report 2020, the smoking rate of people aged 15 and over in China decreased from 33.9% in 1984 to 26.6% in 2018. In the past 34 years, the smoking rate has decreased by 7.3 percentage points, which is 6.6 percentage points short of the goal of reducing the adult smoking rate to 20% by 2030. There are only nine years left.
Through expert modeling research, it is found that the tobacco control situation in China is severe, and the cigarette sales have increased year by year since 2016. If we can not better implement tobacco control measures and strengthen taxation, the goal of reducing the adult smoking rate to 20% by 2030 will be difficult to achieve.
Yang Jie, a researcher at the tobacco control office of China CDC, believes that although the WHO Framework Convention on tobacco control has entered into force, there are still some problems in domestic legislation and law enforcement. Improving the legislation and law enforcement system is the primary task of tobacco control. In addition, some experts said that strengthening taxes is another way to control tobacco. "In order to achieve the goal of tobacco control in 2030, the average price of cigarettes will reach 59 yuan per package in 2030, an increase of 43 yuan over the current (2020), of which the tobacco tax will be 48 yuan per package, an increase of 40 yuan per package compared with 2020, and the consumption tax will be 36 yuan per package, an increase of 30 yuan per package compared with 2020. In 2030, the tobacco tax will account for 82% of the retail price (an increase of 29 percentage points compared with 2020)
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